Analytical Tools
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Empirical Analysis using Household and Micro-level Datasets

Formal empirical analysis of the social impact of crises, policy adjustments and other economic events is typically underpinned by an ex- post analysis using nationally representative household survey data.

Social Budget Tracking and Analysis

Social budget tracking and analysis tools monitor the extent of priority and protection given to public budget items and can influence government policies in favour of allocations to children and families.

A Child Rights Lens for Poverty and Social Impact Analyses (PSIAs)

Poverty and Social Impact Analyses, PSIAs, are aimed at facilitating an ex-ante understanding of the potential distributional impacts of a given policy reform. Child rights centered PSIAs, add a child focus to these impact assessments, as tools specifically designed to promote more child sensitive real-time policy making.

Turkey: UNICEF-World Bank-TEPAV Urban Surveys on the Economic Crisis and the Welfare of Families

In 2009 and 2010, UNICEF Turkey Country Office partnered with the World Bank and the think thank Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey (TEPAV), to conduct two panel surveys as part of the Turkey Welfare Monitoring Survey, in order to understand the impact of the economic recession on poor urban families. The aim of the survey was to provide early warning of any potential deterioration in child and human development outcomes, and to bring to light the ways in which households cope with economic crises. 

The results of the first phase of the survey showed that the economic slowdown had affected the lives of the majority of families not only through unemployment, but also through reduced incomes for the employed and reduced earnings for those in tenuous forms of self-employment. The survey indicated that families were cutting down spending on food and transportation and having difficulty in paying utility bills. The second panel survey was completed in 2010 and it found that, like in 2009, the crisis continued to be transmitted to households mainly through reduced labour incomes. The data analysis also shows that there was limited access to public safety nets during the crisis. Overall household coping strategies were not able to fully offset the impact of the income shock on consumption. Furthermore, the survey documents that, while households tried to protect the consumption of key items for their long-term welfare, many households reduced consumption of food for children and health services.



  1. Household Welfare in the Face of Economic Slowdown (2010)
    Authors: Cristobal, R-C., and M. Aran
    This is a joint report between UNICEF Turkey, the World Bank and TEPAV (Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey,)prepared in June 2010 after the second Welfare Monitoring Survey

  2. Questionnaire Round II
    Prepared for the Welfare Monitoring Survey

  3. The Economic Crisis and the Welfare of Families: a Briefing Note on the Results from Five Urban Centers in Turkey (2009)
    This is a joint report between UNICEF Turkey, the World Bank and TEPAV (Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey,) prepared in September 2009 after the first Welfare Monitoring Survey

  4. Questionnaire Round I
    Prepared for the Welfare Monitoring Survey

  5. Terms of Reference- Turkey Welfare Monitoring Survery (2009)

  6. Research Outline